Forecasting STOCK MARKET 2014: painting with red colour.

TS. Nguyen Hong Scallops index VN-Index has had spectacular growth momentum during the first Sino-Japanese new year communicating. Photo: Jing Luan. 2013 is in the economic success of the United States of America, Japan, Europe. The growth stimulus package had worked. This success was indicated on the STOCK MARKET. The index of the us, Japan and Europe have repeatedly set the record. Europe's problems as the debt crisis seems to have in the back. The United States, the world economy has made unprecedented strides in terms of GDP growth, about the job, about the situation.

Japan only after a short time the application Abenomics has seen impressive growth rates.

About investment trends, including in the case of "cheap" equity line being pulled slowly on, investors in the u. S. Are still very interested in the opportunities in the STOCK MARKET. Although there have been some in 2013 capital was withdrawn from Asian STOCK MARKETS, but overall, the market is stable and attractive as the Philippines remains point to the promise of an investment.

In the last days of January 2014, STOCK MARKETS, Wall Street has been adjusted.

Worries about the slow down of the Chinese economy, the prospects are not bright, emerging markets, resonate with the u. S. Federal Reserve (Fed) phased relief package has made the Dow Jones plunged sharply. However, looking globally, as China has grown over more than three decades at a rate of 9. 7% per year is pleasant village, now reduced to 7.

5% is reasonable. Perhaps, the political instability in emerging markets like Thailand begs big occasion for Vietnam Vietnam's economy: stability, create the background for Development Of suitable and prepared for inflation. Inflation over the last year lowest in the past 10 years.

Right in the new year, the CPI is never as high as usual. Possibility of CPI in 2014 will still remain at a level of 6-7%. About rates. Rates are good control in 2013. Speed slider of the local currency is only 1%. With the balance of trade is a positive trend, the foreign exchange reserves estimated at over 30 billion u. S. Dollars, predatory pressure in 2014 is not great.

Even if the dollar in 2014 has arisen due to the US economic recover, rates are forecast to change only about 2-3%. About interest rates. Lending rate in 2013 has been put on the level of 2009.

Authority is weaker than has been reset "interest rate curve". Advocates of the National Bank (SBV) still connects the lower lending rate added about 1-2%. The business will reach capital at the rate of 6-7% in 2014. The credit growth target from 12-14%, the SBV has broadcast messages to maintain the growth orientation, the monetary easing policy.

About bad debt. Can say bad debt is the problem of littering and also do not have the specific step. The property management company official VAMC and ardent activity also had the most impact on squid, though that in essence, VAMC also is the only form of journal entry, circled the debt, but are not yet thoroughly bad debt disposal.

Still desperately needs the true capital to solve the bad debt. The forecast will be more drastic policies to mobilize domestic and foreign capital to handle the bad debt in 2014. About real estate. 2013 almost haven't got many signals from the housing market flourishes, though the Government is pledging a lot when launching several measures real estate market assistance.

Right early in 2014, we will await the Decree 188 of the revised percentage of profit for businesses involved in housing development.

Many technical solutions from the other Bank will help businesses get more funding, through the project die. Solidly 2014 property remain "thaw" completely, but hope to have the signs rather than the year before. The remittances in 2013 reaches nearly 11 billion u. S. Dollars, ranking ninth in the world, could well be a hope for the real estate market if proper policies for Vietnamese.

About TPP. With the demanding, highly competitive, cross-Partner Conference Association Museum (TPP) will potentially very big about global business.

If the TPP is concluded in 2014, there will be a kick the hinges for the economy and the STOCK MARKET. The STOCK MARKET of Vietnam: painting with pink tones right from the early days of the calendar year, the STOCK MARKET has made the fast-striking wisdom increases.

Perhaps even the most optimistic people can't figure out the scenario of VN-Index hit 550 before the lunar new year. The sudden entitled Foreign Exchange volume was confound many investors. If room (owned the maximum stake of foreign investors) to be issued soon, the cash flows of a foreign will pour into stronger. Although that is much in doubt, but the flow of money in the country also attended more actively.

With capitalization of companies listed on the two floor makes up about 31% of GDP (the equivalent of 45 billion u. S. Dollars), the STOCK MARKET is becoming the focus of concerns in the process of economic restructuring.

The listing requires greater transparency, improve corporate governance, has been understood. The process of equitized enterprises to list and will get stronger in the coming years. The STOCK MARKET will have many more goods. More and more markets rule, more and more people buy, the seller. In 2014 we will expect the IPO (Hello, sold shares for the first strove them), the new listing.

Stocks are cheap or expensive? According to the figures by the end of 2013, indicator p\/e villages colours on HOSE is 12.

5 on the HNX is 9. These are the cheapest in the region. Over time, the stock of blue-chips rose fairly sharply. This is the group being sued foreign special interest because many businesses have a good basic foundationlarge capitalization value.

The stocks of this enterprise will still see a steady growth this year. Also in Midcap and Smallcap segment, many stocks are still located in the fairly low prices. If with faith in the recovery of the economy, the stock of the group leaders will in 2014.